Panera Bread Company (PNRA) vs. Dunkin’ Brands Group (DNKN) Head to Head Contrast

Dunkin’ Brands Group (NASDAQ: DNKN) and Panera Bread Company (NASDAQ:PNRA) are both mid-cap retail/wholesale companies, but which is the better investment? We will compare the two businesses based on the strength of their risk, analyst recommendations, profitabiliy, dividends, institutional ownership, earnings and valuation.

Insider and Institutional Ownership

94.3% of Dunkin’ Brands Group shares are held by institutional investors. Comparatively, 96.5% of Panera Bread Company shares are held by institutional investors. 3.1% of Dunkin’ Brands Group shares are held by insiders. Comparatively, 7.0% of Panera Bread Company shares are held by insiders. Strong institutional ownership is an indication that hedge funds, large money managers and endowments believe a stock is poised for long-term growth.

Dividends

Dunkin’ Brands Group pays an annual dividend of $1.29 per share and has a dividend yield of 2.3%. Panera Bread Company does not pay a dividend. Dunkin’ Brands Group pays out 57.8% of its earnings in the form of a dividend.

Risk & Volatility

Dunkin’ Brands Group has a beta of 0.23, indicating that its stock price is 77% less volatile than the S&P 500. Comparatively, Panera Bread Company has a beta of 0.2, indicating that its stock price is 80% less volatile than the S&P 500.

Profitability

This table compares Dunkin’ Brands Group and Panera Bread Company’s net margins, return on equity and return on assets.

Net Margins Return on Equity Return on Assets
Dunkin’ Brands Group 24.81% -133.92% 6.89%
Panera Bread Company 5.39% 51.13% 12.60%

Earnings & Valuation

This table compares Dunkin’ Brands Group and Panera Bread Company’s top-line revenue, earnings per share and valuation.

Gross Revenue Price/Sales Ratio EBITDA Earnings Per Share Price/Earnings Ratio
Dunkin’ Brands Group $829.79 million 6.11 $440.74 million $2.23 24.69
Panera Bread Company $2.84 billion 2.49 $423.56 million $6.63 47.47

Dunkin’ Brands Group has higher revenue, but lower earnings than Panera Bread Company. Dunkin’ Brands Group is trading at a lower price-to-earnings ratio than Panera Bread Company, indicating that it is currently the more affordable of the two stocks.

Analyst Ratings

This is a summary of recent recommendations and price targets for Dunkin’ Brands Group and Panera Bread Company, as provided by MarketBeat.

Sell Ratings Hold Ratings Buy Ratings Strong Buy Ratings Rating Score
Dunkin’ Brands Group 3 8 7 0 2.22
Panera Bread Company 1 13 7 0 2.29

Dunkin’ Brands Group presently has a consensus price target of $56.00, indicating a potential upside of 1.71%. Panera Bread Company has a consensus price target of $272.89, indicating a potential downside of 13.29%. Given Dunkin’ Brands Group’s higher possible upside, equities analysts clearly believe Dunkin’ Brands Group is more favorable than Panera Bread Company.

Summary

Panera Bread Company beats Dunkin’ Brands Group on 9 of the 15 factors compared between the two stocks.

About Dunkin’ Brands Group

Dunkin’ Brands Group, Inc. is a franchisor of quick service restaurants (QSRs) serving hot and cold coffee and baked goods, as well as hard serve ice cream. The Company franchises restaurants under its Dunkin’ Donuts and Baskin-Robbins brands. The Company operates through four segments: Dunkin’ Donuts-U.S., Dunkin’ Donuts International, Baskin-Robbins International and Baskin-Robbins-U.S. The Dunkin’ Donuts U.S. segment is the United States QSR concept, and markets donut and bagel categories for servings. The Baskin-Robbins-U.S. segment is engaged in serving hard-serve ice cream, and develops and sells a range of frozen ice cream treats, such as cones, cakes, sundaes and frozen beverages. The Company’s Dunkin’ Donuts International segment franchisees are responsible for sourcing their own supplies with its standards. As of December 31, 2016, Baskin-Robbins International segment had a manufacturing network, which consisted of 14 facilities.

About Panera Bread Company

Panera Bread Company is a food service company. The Company is a national bakery-cafe concept. As of December 27, 2016, the Company operated 2,036 own and franchise-operated bakery-cafe locations in 46 states, the District of Columbia, and Ontario, Canada. It operates through three segments: Company bakery-cafe operations, franchise operations, and fresh dough and other product operations. The Company Bakery-Cafe Operations segment includes the operating activities of the bakery-cafes owned directly and indirectly by the Company. The Franchise Operations segment includes the operating activities of the franchise business unit, which licenses qualified operators to conduct business under the Panera Bread or Paradise Bakery & Cafe names. The Fresh Dough and Other Product Operations segment supplies fresh dough, produce, tuna, cream cheese, and indirectly supplies sweet goods items through a contract manufacturing arrangement, to the Company-owned and franchise-operated bakery-cafes.

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